경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Copa Uruguay Uruguay · Group Stage - 2

OrientalHOME · 4.12

1 : 22026.09.04 · 종료

Racing MontevideoAWAY · 1.79

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.7%

DRAW37.2%

AWAY25.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 71/100

AI PICK HOME 32.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +15.8%

VALUE EDGE+15.8%

FAIR ODDS2.66

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 71/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +16.1%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +8.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +4.0%p

MARKET AWAY -28.4%p

SEASON_STATS AWAY -12.5%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Oriental분석 지표Racing Montevideo

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

71/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도9.8 / 15

예측 분리도0.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME21.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승20.0%표본 40경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.0%현재 이동 -15.2%

OPEN → NOW4.85 → 4.12배당 업데이트 2026-09-03 23:52:45

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

37.7%

DRAW

37.2%

AWAY

25.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Oriental

W · 2-0L · 1-0W · 0-2D · 1-1L · 0-1

Racing Montevideo

W · 1-0D · 0-0W · 2-0D · 2-2W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.81

→

CURRENT4.17

+9.38%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.53

→

CURRENT3.23

-8.71%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.79

→

CURRENT1.80

+0.67%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-03 11:32:22	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 11:42:21	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 11:52:23	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 12:02:20	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 12:12:20	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 12:22:22	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 12:32:20	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 12:42:20	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 12:52:21	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 13:02:21	3.86	3.57	1.77
2026-09-03 13:02:22	3.77	3.51	1.80
2026-09-03 13:12:20	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 13:22:22	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 13:32:22	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 13:42:21	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 13:52:22	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 14:02:21	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 14:12:19	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 14:22:22	3.88	3.57	1.74
2026-09-03 14:22:23	3.62	3.45	1.91
2026-09-03 14:32:20	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 14:42:20	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 14:52:23	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 15:02:21	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 15:12:21	3.87	3.67	1.75
2026-09-03 15:12:22	3.78	3.45	1.81
2026-09-03 15:22:23	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 15:32:22	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 15:42:20	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 15:52:23	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 16:02:22	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 16:12:19	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 16:22:23	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 16:32:21	4.33	3.55	1.70
2026-09-03 16:32:22	3.76	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 16:42:21	3.83	3.52	1.77
2026-09-03 16:42:22	3.60	3.65	1.93
2026-09-03 16:52:23	3.81	3.53	1.79
2026-09-03 17:02:21	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 17:12:22	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 17:22:23	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 17:32:29	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 17:42:25	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 17:52:25	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 18:02:22	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 18:12:22	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 18:22:24	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 18:32:24	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 18:42:21	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 18:52:26	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 19:02:22	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 19:12:23	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 19:22:24	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 19:32:23	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 19:42:22	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 19:52:24	4.05	3.50	1.76
2026-09-03 20:02:23	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 20:12:21	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 20:22:25	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 20:32:24	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 20:42:22	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 20:52:27	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 21:02:24	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 21:12:24	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 21:22:26	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 21:32:24	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 21:42:23	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 21:52:25	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 22:02:24	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 22:12:27	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 22:22:29	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 22:42:10	4.24	3.50	1.73
2026-09-03 22:42:11	4.18	3.39	1.77
2026-09-03 22:52:28	4.20	3.43	1.76
2026-09-03 23:02:36	4.17	3.23	1.80
2026-09-03 23:12:29	4.17	3.23	1.80
2026-09-03 23:22:34	4.17	3.23	1.80
2026-09-03 23:32:29	4.17	3.23	1.80
2026-09-03 23:42:24	4.17	3.23	1.80
2026-09-03 23:52:45	4.17	3.23	1.80

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.04	Oriental	1 : 2	Racing Montevideo