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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Ligue 2 Women France · Ligue 2 Women - Final
Chartres WHOME · -
74 : 662024.05.05 · 종료
Toulouse WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.2%
VALUE EDGE+64.2%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADES
Chartres WAnalysis MetricsToulouse W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-0.08 Point MarginHigher is better -6.67
146.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 138.00
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
10.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chartres W
W · 80-61W · 53-57W · 51-53W · 59-42W · 76-82
Toulouse W
W · 76-72W · 67-74W · 85-54W · 40-68L · 73-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.19Chartres W73 : 65Toulouse W
2024.05.12Toulouse W86 : 71Chartres W
2024.05.05Chartres W74 : 66Toulouse W
2024.01.21Toulouse W65 : 71Chartres W
2023.10.15Chartres W53 : 55Toulouse W