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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Ligue 2 Women France · Ligue 2 Women - Quarter-finals
Toulouse WHOME · -
85 : 542024.04.11 · 종료
Mondeville WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Toulouse WAnalysis MetricsMondeville W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-7.67 Point MarginHigher is better +3.33
137.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 129.00
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toulouse W
W · 40-68L · 73-74L · 81-70W · 90-65L · 68-66
Mondeville W
L · 40-68W · 73-74W · 74-69W · 77-94W · 70-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.11Toulouse W85 : 54Mondeville W
2024.04.07Mondeville W40 : 68Toulouse W
2024.03.31Toulouse W73 : 74Mondeville W
2024.01.07Mondeville W79 : 66Toulouse W
2014.01.12Mondeville W53 : 63Toulouse W
2013.10.05Toulouse W60 : 73Mondeville W
2013.01.06Mondeville W72 : 59Toulouse W
2012.09.30Toulouse W61 : 58Mondeville W