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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Ligue 2 Women France · Ligue 2 Women - Quarter-finals
Mondeville WHOME · -
40 : 682024.04.07 · 종료
Toulouse WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
Mondeville WAnalysis MetricsToulouse W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+3.33 Point MarginHigher is better -7.67
129.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.33
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%
6.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mondeville W
W · 73-74W · 74-69W · 77-94W · 70-63L · 68-70
Toulouse W
L · 73-74L · 81-70W · 90-65L · 68-66W · 82-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.11Toulouse W85 : 54Mondeville W
2024.04.07Mondeville W40 : 68Toulouse W
2024.03.31Toulouse W73 : 74Mondeville W
2024.01.07Mondeville W79 : 66Toulouse W
2014.01.12Mondeville W53 : 63Toulouse W
2013.10.05Toulouse W60 : 73Mondeville W
2013.01.06Mondeville W72 : 59Toulouse W
2012.09.30Toulouse W61 : 58Mondeville W