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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LFB W France · LFB Women - Final
Nantes WHOME · -
79 : 732014.04.30 · 종료
Lyon WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.6%
VALUE EDGE+50.6%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
Nantes WAnalysis MetricsLyon W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+1.83 Point MarginHigher is better +3.08
131.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.42
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.5 / 15
Prediction separation0.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nantes W
W · 72-62W · 52-64L · 49-44W · 57-50L · 84-88
Lyon W
W · 76-72W · 68-88W · 63-88L · 48-55W · 84-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.05.04Lyon W76 : 61Nantes W
2014.05.02Lyon W76 : 72Nantes W
2014.04.30Nantes W79 : 73Lyon W
2014.04.03Nantes W84 : 88Lyon W
2013.12.08Lyon W73 : 47Nantes W
2013.01.20Lyon W75 : 57Nantes W
2012.10.14Nantes W74 : 61Lyon W
2012.01.08Lyon W70 : 86Nantes W
2011.10.02Nantes W66 : 56Lyon W