Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LFB W
France · 24
Nantes WHOME · -
84 : 882014.04.03 · 종료
Lyon WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.2%
VALUE EDGE+53.2%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Nantes WAnalysis MetricsLyon W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
130.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
137.42
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nantes W
W · 67-73W · 79-64W · 64-70W · 68-64L · 67-57
Lyon W
W · 89-70W · 65-84W · 80-61L · 77-84W · 77-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014.05.04 | Lyon W | 76 : 61 | Nantes W |
| 2014.05.02 | Lyon W | 76 : 72 | Nantes W |
| 2014.04.30 | Nantes W | 79 : 73 | Lyon W |
| 2014.04.03 | Nantes W | 84 : 88 | Lyon W |
| 2013.12.08 | Lyon W | 73 : 47 | Nantes W |
| 2013.01.20 | Lyon W | 75 : 57 | Nantes W |
| 2012.10.14 | Nantes W | 74 : 61 | Lyon W |
| 2012.01.08 | Lyon W | 70 : 86 | Nantes W |
| 2011.10.02 | Nantes W | 66 : 56 | Lyon W |