Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Leaders Cup France · Leaders Cup - Quarter-finals

CholetHOME · -

77 : 842023.02.18 · 종료

Le MansAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY30.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.6%

VALUE EDGE+69.6%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADEA

CholetAnalysis MetricsLe Mans

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better +8.33

163.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.33

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

8.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

30.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Cholet

W · 95-83W · 64-71W · 77-75L · 99-78W · 75-56

Le Mans

L · 92-76L · 78-84W · 74-96W · 110-54L · 101-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.02.14	Cholet	91 : 93	Le Mans
2023.02.18	Cholet	77 : 84	Le Mans
2019.12.15	Le Mans	81 : 75	Cholet
2017.04.03	Cholet	78 : 58	Le Mans
2016.11.06	Le Mans	71 : 65	Cholet
2016.03.30	Cholet	69 : 70	Le Mans
2016.01.17	Le Mans	69 : 79	Cholet