Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
French Cup Women
France · French Cup Women - Semi-finals
Bourges WHOME · -
95 : 652024.03.10 · 종료
Lyon WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.8%
VALUE EDGE+63.8%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
Bourges WAnalysis MetricsLyon W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+1.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
143.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
137.42
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation11.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bourges W
W · 74-57W · 79-76L · 83-74W · 90-69W · 51-108
Lyon W
W · 73-54L · 71-64W · 64-77W · 71-82W · 73-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.11 | Lyon W | 59 : 72 | Bourges W |
| 2024.03.10 | Bourges W | 95 : 65 | Lyon W |
| 2014.01.19 | Bourges W | 64 : 57 | Lyon W |
| 2013.10.12 | Lyon W | 52 : 64 | Bourges W |
| 2013.04.13 | Bourges W | 63 : 45 | Lyon W |
| 2013.04.11 | Lyon W | 59 : 69 | Bourges W |
| 2013.02.10 | Bourges W | 62 : 50 | Lyon W |
| 2012.10.28 | Lyon W | 44 : 43 | Bourges W |
| 2012.01.22 | Bourges W | 75 : 55 | Lyon W |
| 2011.10.16 | Lyon W | 47 : 54 | Bourges W |