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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

French Cup France · French Cup - Quarter-finals
Lyon-VilleurbanneHOME · -
78 : 792022.03.27 · 종료
Gravelines-DunkerqueAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.4%
VALUE EDGE+71.4%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADES
Lyon-VilleurbanneAnalysis MetricsGravelines-Dunkerque
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+0.25 Point MarginHigher is better -10.25
181.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.75
62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lyon-Villeurbanne
W · 90-70W · 61-77W · 84-82W · 74-73W · 86-77
Gravelines-Dunkerque
W · 92-61W · 64-98L · 72-65W · 77-85L · 88-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.04Gravelines-Dunkerque65 : 70Lyon-Villeurbanne
2022.03.27Lyon-Villeurbanne78 : 79Gravelines-Dunkerque
2019.12.29Lyon-Villeurbanne103 : 86Gravelines-Dunkerque
2017.02.13Gravelines-Dunkerque82 : 81Lyon-Villeurbanne
2016.11.13Lyon-Villeurbanne73 : 70Gravelines-Dunkerque
2016.05.11Lyon-Villeurbanne59 : 56Gravelines-Dunkerque
2016.01.17Gravelines-Dunkerque79 : 63Lyon-Villeurbanne