Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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French Cup France · French Cup - Quarter-finals

MonacoHOME · -

74 : 652022.03.27 · 종료

JL BourgAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY16.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +83.2%

VALUE EDGE+83.2%

FAIR ODDS1.20

GRADEA

MonacoAnalysis MetricsJL Bourg

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58

175.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.58

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

83.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

16.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Monaco

W · 92-76L · 83-76L · 95-83W · 80-67W · 88-74

JL Bourg

L · 72-85L · 96-89L · 77-88W · 78-76W · 88-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.02.15	Monaco	101 : 88	JL Bourg
2023.02.17	Monaco	92 : 102	JL Bourg
2022.03.27	Monaco	74 : 65	JL Bourg
2019.12.24	Monaco	94 : 89	JL Bourg