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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

French Cup France · French Cup - Quarter-finals
Pau-OrthezHOME · -
93 : 722022.03.26 · 종료
Fos-sur-MerAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.7%
VALUE EDGE+55.7%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
Pau-OrthezAnalysis MetricsFos-sur-Mer
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+1.17 Point MarginHigher is better -4.08
171.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.08
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation4.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pau-Orthez
W · 70-77W · 99-92W · 64-80L · 83-81
Fos-sur-Mer
W · 81-68W · 90-79W · 79-68W · 76-82L · 0-20

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.26Pau-Orthez93 : 72Fos-sur-Mer