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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Espoirs U21 France · Espoirs U21 - Quarter-finals
Cholet U21HOME · -
78 : 662023.05.26 · 종료
Lyon-Villeurbanne U21AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.9%
VALUE EDGE+69.9%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
Cholet U21Analysis MetricsLyon-Villeurbanne U21
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+7.75 Point MarginHigher is better +1.33
151.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.17
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
9.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cholet U21
L · 101-91W · 96-69W · 89-48W · 60-91W · 81-95
Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
L · 56-83W · 92-84L · 67-64W · 92-100W · 60-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.27Cholet U2197 : 68Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
2026.03.28Cholet U2188 : 74Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
2025.12.14Lyon-Villeurbanne U2178 : 94Cholet U21
2025.05.03Cholet U2186 : 67Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
2024.11.02Lyon-Villeurbanne U2182 : 88Cholet U21
2023.05.26Cholet U2178 : 66Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
2023.03.29Lyon-Villeurbanne U2168 : 84Cholet U21
2022.09.24Cholet U2173 : 71Lyon-Villeurbanne U21