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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Espoirs U21 France · 4
JL Bourg U21HOME · -
72 : 782022.10.09 · 종료
Pau-Orthez U21AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
JL Bourg U21Analysis MetricsPau-Orthez U21
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -2.67
167.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.00
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
JL Bourg U21
L · 90-80W · 58-106W · 95-56
Pau-Orthez U21
W · 83-79L · 83-68W · 96-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.18Pau-Orthez U2169 : 81JL Bourg U21
2022.10.09JL Bourg U2172 : 78Pau-Orthez U21