Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Suomen Cup Finland · Suomen Cup - Semi-finals

KatajaHOME · -

94 : 542023.01.14 · 종료

BC NokiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY44.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.3%

VALUE EDGE+55.3%

FAIR ODDS1.81

GRADEA

KatajaAnalysis MetricsBC Nokia

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+0.58 Point MarginHigher is better +2.33

169.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.83

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.2 / 15

Prediction separation4.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

44.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kataja

W · 104-78L · 64-75W · 82-104L · 71-85L · 87-80

BC Nokia

W · 81-86L · 63-87W · 78-101W · 90-88L · 89-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.01.20	BC Nokia	88 : 73	Kataja
2023.01.14	Kataja	94 : 54	BC Nokia
2020.03.01	Kataja	89 : 86	BC Nokia
2020.01.13	BC Nokia	89 : 84	Kataja
2020.01.04	BC Nokia	102 : 94	Kataja
2019.09.28	Kataja	79 : 72	BC Nokia