Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Suomen Cup
Finland · Suomen Cup - Semi-finals
Karhu BasketHOME · -
64 : 782023.01.14 · 종료
Helsinki SeagullsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.5%
VALUE EDGE+56.5%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Karhu BasketAnalysis MetricsHelsinki Seagulls
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.25
169.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.25
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation5.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karhu Basket
W · 59-66W · 65-72W · 82-74W · 105-71W · 84-93
Helsinki Seagulls
W · 101-92W · 91-72W · 71-85W · 97-88L · 81-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.11 | Helsinki Seagulls | 68 : 76 | Karhu Basket |
| 2026.10.18 | Karhu Basket | 91 : 76 | Helsinki Seagulls |
| 2026.03.14 | Helsinki Seagulls | 80 : 97 | Karhu Basket |
| 2026.02.15 | Karhu Basket | 82 : 79 | Helsinki Seagulls |
| 2026.01.25 | Karhu Basket | 79 : 74 | Helsinki Seagulls |
| 2025.11.22 | Helsinki Seagulls | 63 : 84 | Karhu Basket |
| 2023.01.14 | Karhu Basket | 64 : 78 | Helsinki Seagulls |
| 2020.01.30 | Karhu Basket | 91 : 71 | Helsinki Seagulls |
| 2019.12.05 | Helsinki Seagulls | 72 : 66 | Karhu Basket |
| 2019.10.20 | Karhu Basket | 93 : 100 | Helsinki Seagulls |