Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Suomen Cup
Finland · Suomen Cup - Quarter-finals
Karhu BasketHOME · -
82 : 742022.12.18 · 종료
Kouvot KouvolaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.0%
VALUE EDGE+81.0%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
Karhu BasketAnalysis MetricsKouvot Kouvola
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
169.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.83
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karhu Basket
W · 105-71W · 84-93L · 87-93W · 89-90W · 104-85
Kouvot Kouvola
W · 78-99W · 85-84L · 97-88L · 77-74L · 75-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.01 | Kouvot Kouvola | 74 : 77 | Karhu Basket |
| 2026.01.11 | Kouvot Kouvola | 75 : 84 | Karhu Basket |
| 2025.11.06 | Karhu Basket | 95 : 75 | Kouvot Kouvola |
| 2022.12.18 | Karhu Basket | 82 : 74 | Kouvot Kouvola |
| 2020.02.13 | Karhu Basket | 94 : 86 | Kouvot Kouvola |
| 2019.11.07 | Karhu Basket | 96 : 79 | Kouvot Kouvola |
| 2019.10.31 | Kouvot Kouvola | 75 : 87 | Karhu Basket |