Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Suomen Cup
Finland · Suomen Cup - Quarter-finals
KatajaHOME · -
104 : 782022.12.11 · 종료
Salon VilpasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME17.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY82.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+82.6%
VALUE EDGE+82.6%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
KatajaAnalysis MetricsSalon Vilpas
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+0.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.42
169.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.92
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kataja
L · 64-75W · 82-104L · 71-85L · 87-80W · 89-86
Salon Vilpas
W · 97-76W · 75-111W · 87-80W · 81-62W · 71-130
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.20 | Salon Vilpas | 100 : 69 | Kataja |
| 2026.05.16 | Kataja | 75 : 59 | Salon Vilpas |
| 2026.05.15 | Salon Vilpas | 90 : 81 | Kataja |
| 2026.05.13 | Kataja | 79 : 86 | Salon Vilpas |
| 2026.05.10 | Salon Vilpas | 82 : 45 | Kataja |
| 2026.05.06 | Kataja | 75 : 70 | Salon Vilpas |
| 2026.05.02 | Salon Vilpas | 75 : 84 | Kataja |
| 2026.01.15 | Salon Vilpas | 89 : 92 | Kataja |
| 2025.11.09 | Kataja | 87 : 83 | Salon Vilpas |
| 2022.12.11 | Kataja | 104 : 78 | Salon Vilpas |