Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Suomen Cup
Finland · Suomen Cup - Semi-finals
BC NokiaHOME · -
88 : 732024.01.20 · 종료
KatajaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.3%
VALUE EDGE+54.3%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
BC NokiaAnalysis MetricsKataja
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.33
170.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.33
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation3.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Nokia
L · 94-54W · 81-86L · 63-87W · 78-101W · 90-88
Kataja
W · 92-83L · 105-92L · 85-89L · 68-55L · 73-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.20 | BC Nokia | 88 : 73 | Kataja |
| 2023.01.14 | Kataja | 94 : 54 | BC Nokia |
| 2020.03.01 | Kataja | 89 : 86 | BC Nokia |
| 2020.01.13 | BC Nokia | 89 : 84 | Kataja |
| 2020.01.04 | BC Nokia | 102 : 94 | Kataja |
| 2019.09.28 | Kataja | 79 : 72 | BC Nokia |