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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Kyrgyzstan · Regular Season - 8
Muras UnitedHOME · -
3 : 12024.05.15 · 종료
IlbirsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.0%
DRAW17.7%
AWAY18.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW24 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 24/100
AI PICK HOME 45.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.0%
VALUE EDGE+64.0%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 48/100 · HIGH RISK
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +9.0%p
REST HOME +10.7%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Muras UnitedAnalysis MetricsIlbirs
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.50 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.33
1.17 Average goals concededLower is better 1.92
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

24/100 LOW
Data coverage4.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.0%
DRAW
17.7%
AWAY
18.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Muras United
D · 1-1W · 3-1D · 1-1W · 1-3W · 2-1
Ilbirs
W · 0-2L · 2-0L · 0-2L · 2-1L · 3-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.19Muras United1 : 1Ilbirs
2026.05.02Ilbirs0 : 2Muras United
2025.08.21Muras United4 : 1Ilbirs
2025.05.11Ilbirs1 : 3Muras United
2024.10.29Ilbirs3 : 4Muras United
2024.08.12Ilbirs0 : 1Muras United
2024.05.15Muras United3 : 1Ilbirs