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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Kyrgyzstan · Regular Season - 7
AlayHOME · -
1 : 12024.05.08 · 종료
Muras UnitedAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.6%
DRAW25.2%
AWAY43.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK AWAY 36.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +43.2%
VALUE EDGE+43.2%
FAIR ODDS2.32
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 21/100 · HIGH RISK
REST AWAY -9.4%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
AlayAnalysis MetricsMuras United
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
1.42 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.50
1.17 Average goals concededLower is better 1.17
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
9.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement9.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
31.6%
DRAW
25.2%
AWAY
43.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alay
D · 1-1W · 0-2W · 0-1D · 0-0L · 2-0
Muras United
W · 3-1D · 1-1W · 1-3W · 2-1L · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.10Alay0 : 1Muras United
2026.04.26Muras United2 : 0Alay
2025.08.16Muras United2 : 1Alay
2025.05.18Alay2 : 1Muras United
2024.11.28Muras United3 : 1Alay
2024.06.15Muras United1 : 2Alay
2024.05.08Alay1 : 1Muras United