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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Kyrgyzstan · Regular Season - 5
IlbirsHOME · -
0 : 22024.04.19 · 종료
AlayAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.8%
DRAW27.8%
AWAY17.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 40.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.8%
VALUE EDGE+54.8%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 39/100 · HIGH RISK
REST HOME +5.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
IlbirsAnalysis MetricsAlay
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
1.33 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.42
1.92 Average goals concededLower is better 1.17
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
4.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation11.6 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.8%
DRAW
27.8%
AWAY
17.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ilbirs
L · 2-1L · 3-2L · 0-5D · 1-1
Alay
W · 0-1D · 0-0L · 2-0L · 2-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.07Alay3 : 0Ilbirs
2026.03.01Ilbirs1 : 1Alay
2025.09.19Ilbirs1 : 4Alay
2025.05.01Alay1 : 0Ilbirs
2024.10.18Alay1 : 0Ilbirs
2024.08.16Alay3 : 1Ilbirs
2024.04.19Ilbirs0 : 2Alay