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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Kyrgyzstan · Regular Season - 3
AlgaHOME · -
1 : 32024.04.10 · 종료
Muras UnitedAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.6%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY45.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK AWAY 38.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +45.4%
VALUE EDGE+45.4%
FAIR ODDS2.20
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 24/100 · HIGH RISK
REST AWAY -9.8%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
AlgaAnalysis MetricsMuras United
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
2.00 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.50
1.08 Average goals concededLower is better 1.17
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
29.6%
DRAW
25.0%
AWAY
45.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alga
W · 4-2D · 1-1
Muras United
W · 2-1L · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.13Alga3 : 2Muras United
2026.06.14Muras United1 : 3Alga
2025.11.08Muras United1 : 0Alga
2025.03.06Alga0 : 4Muras United
2024.10.04Muras United0 : 1Alga
2024.06.24Muras United2 : 0Alga
2024.04.10Alga1 : 3Muras United