Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Northern Territory Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 8
Port DarwinHOME · -
0 : 22024.05.24 · 종료
Darwin HeartsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.6%
DRAW20.2%
AWAY45.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
AWAY 38.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+45.2%
VALUE EDGE+45.2%
FAIR ODDS2.21
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
20/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
HOME
+35.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Port DarwinAnalysis MetricsDarwin Hearts
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
2.08
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.25
1.83
Average goals concededLower is better
1.25
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation4.6 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Port Darwin
L · 0-4L · 1-3D · 0-0L · 5-0W · 2-0
Darwin Hearts
W · 0-3L · 1-5L · 9-1W · 2-0W · 2-4
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.07.18 | Darwin Hearts | 5 : 1 | Port Darwin |
| 2025.05.16 | Port Darwin | 1 : 0 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2025.03.15 | Darwin Hearts | 4 : 0 | Port Darwin |
| 2024.09.07 | Darwin Hearts | 2 : 0 | Port Darwin |
| 2024.05.24 | Port Darwin | 0 : 2 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2024.03.23 | Darwin Hearts | 3 : 0 | Port Darwin |