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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Northern Territory Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 7
GarudaHOME · -
0 : 32024.05.17 · 종료
Darwin HeartsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME0.8%
DRAW3.2%
AWAY96.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK AWAY 72.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +96.0%
VALUE EDGE+96.0%
FAIR ODDS1.04
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 80/100 · HIGH RISK
REST HOME +4.5%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
GarudaAnalysis MetricsDarwin Hearts
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
1.00 Average goals scoredHigher is better 2.25
3.42 Average goals concededLower is better 1.25
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement9.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
0.8%
DRAW
3.2%
AWAY
96.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Garuda
L · 0-5L · 6-2L · 3-0L · 2-0L · 1-2
Darwin Hearts
L · 1-5L · 9-1W · 2-0W · 2-4W · 1-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.07.25Garuda0 : 3Darwin Hearts
2025.05.23Darwin Hearts0 : 2Garuda
2025.03.21Garuda0 : 0Darwin Hearts
2024.07.26Garuda2 : 0Darwin Hearts
2024.07.12Darwin Hearts2 : 1Garuda
2024.05.17Garuda0 : 3Darwin Hearts