Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Northern Territory Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 6
Port DarwinHOME · -
1 : 32024.05.04 · 종료
Hellenic AthleticAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.9%
DRAW18.5%
AWAY25.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
HOME 44.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.9%
VALUE EDGE+55.9%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
34/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
EVEN
-0.8%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Port DarwinAnalysis MetricsHellenic Athletic
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
2.08
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.00
1.83
Average goals concededLower is better
1.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Port Darwin
D · 0-0L · 5-0W · 2-0L · 7-1L · 3-0
Hellenic Athletic
W · 6-2W · 3-1W · 3-2L · 1-0D · 1-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.08.29 | Port Darwin | 1 : 1 | Hellenic Athletic |
| 2025.06.21 | Hellenic Athletic | 1 : 1 | Port Darwin |
| 2025.05.02 | Port Darwin | 2 : 0 | Hellenic Athletic |
| 2024.08.30 | Port Darwin | 1 : 5 | Hellenic Athletic |
| 2024.07.05 | Hellenic Athletic | 0 : 0 | Port Darwin |
| 2024.05.04 | Port Darwin | 1 : 3 | Hellenic Athletic |