Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Northern Territory Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 6
Darwin HeartsHOME · -
1 : 52024.05.04 · 종료
Darwin OlympicAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.5%
DRAW15.9%
AWAY2.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
HOME 56.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.5%
VALUE EDGE+81.5%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
68/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
EVEN
-0.4%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Darwin HeartsAnalysis MetricsDarwin Olympic
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
2.25
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.92
1.25
Average goals concededLower is better
1.00
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Darwin Hearts
L · 9-1W · 2-0W · 2-4W · 1-0W · 3-0
Darwin Olympic
D · 2-2W · 3-0L · 3-2D · 2-2D · 3-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.09.13 | Darwin Olympic | 5 : 1 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2025.08.30 | Darwin Hearts | 1 : 0 | Darwin Olympic |
| 2025.06.20 | Darwin Olympic | 0 : 1 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2025.04.26 | Darwin Hearts | 1 : 2 | Darwin Olympic |
| 2024.09.14 | Darwin Hearts | 0 : 4 | Darwin Olympic |
| 2024.08.31 | Darwin Hearts | 1 : 1 | Darwin Olympic |
| 2024.07.06 | Darwin Olympic | 3 : 2 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2024.05.04 | Darwin Hearts | 1 : 5 | Darwin Olympic |