Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Northern Territory Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 5
CasuarinaHOME · -
0 : 02024.04.27 · 종료
Port DarwinAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME96.2%
DRAW3.1%
AWAY0.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+96.2%
VALUE EDGE+96.2%
FAIR ODDS1.04
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
80/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
HOME
+4.9%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
CasuarinaAnalysis MetricsPort Darwin
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
1.00
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.08
2.92
Average goals concededLower is better
1.83
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casuarina
L · 3-1L · 2-4W · 1-2D · 3-3
Port Darwin
L · 5-0W · 2-0L · 7-1L · 3-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.09.05 | Casuarina | 1 : 4 | Port Darwin |
| 2025.07.12 | Casuarina | 3 : 1 | Port Darwin |
| 2025.06.28 | Port Darwin | 4 : 2 | Casuarina |
| 2024.08.23 | Casuarina | 5 : 1 | Port Darwin |
| 2024.06.22 | Port Darwin | 1 : 1 | Casuarina |
| 2024.04.27 | Casuarina | 0 : 0 | Port Darwin |