Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Northern Territory Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 5
Mindil AcesHOME · -
9 : 12024.04.26 · 종료
Darwin HeartsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME86.3%
DRAW10.7%
AWAY3.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
HOME 63.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+86.3%
VALUE EDGE+86.3%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
71/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
EVEN
-0.8%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Mindil AcesAnalysis MetricsDarwin Hearts
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.58
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.25
1.42
Average goals concededLower is better
1.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mindil Aces
W · 5-0W · 2-0D · 2-2D · 1-1
Darwin Hearts
W · 2-0W · 2-4W · 1-0W · 3-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.09.06 | Mindil Aces | 2 : 1 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2025.07.12 | Mindil Aces | 3 : 1 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2025.06.28 | Darwin Hearts | 3 : 2 | Mindil Aces |
| 2024.08.24 | Mindil Aces | 1 : 0 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2024.06.21 | Darwin Hearts | 2 : 0 | Mindil Aces |
| 2024.04.26 | Mindil Aces | 9 : 1 | Darwin Hearts |