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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Northern Territory Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 4
Hellenic AthleticHOME · -
3 : 12024.04.19 · 종료
CasuarinaAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.5%
DRAW19.5%
AWAY26.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 40.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.5%
VALUE EDGE+54.5%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 33/100 · HIGH RISK
REST HOME +4.9%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Hellenic AthleticAnalysis MetricsCasuarina
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
2.00 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.00
1.17 Average goals concededLower is better 2.92
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.2 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.5%
DRAW
19.5%
AWAY
26.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hellenic Athletic
W · 3-2L · 1-0D · 1-1
Casuarina
L · 2-4W · 1-2D · 3-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.08.22Hellenic Athletic2 : 0Casuarina
2025.07.08Casuarina1 : 2Hellenic Athletic
2025.04.11Hellenic Athletic1 : 1Casuarina
2024.08.17Hellenic Athletic1 : 2Casuarina
2024.06.14Casuarina2 : 1Hellenic Athletic
2024.04.19Hellenic Athletic3 : 1Casuarina