Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Northern Territory Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 3
CasuarinaHOME · -
2 : 42024.04.13 · 종료
Darwin HeartsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.6%
DRAW20.0%
AWAY27.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
HOME 40.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.6%
VALUE EDGE+52.6%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
31/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
EVEN
+0.8%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
CasuarinaAnalysis MetricsDarwin Hearts
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.00
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.25
2.92
Average goals concededLower is better
1.25
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement3.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casuarina
W · 1-2D · 3-3
Darwin Hearts
W · 1-0W · 3-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.08.16 | Casuarina | 0 : 5 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2025.06.06 | Darwin Hearts | 6 : 1 | Casuarina |
| 2025.04.05 | Casuarina | 0 : 2 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2024.08.10 | Casuarina | 3 : 3 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2024.06.07 | Darwin Hearts | 2 : 3 | Casuarina |
| 2024.04.13 | Casuarina | 2 : 4 | Darwin Hearts |