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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Northern Territory Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 2
Darwin HeartsHOME · -
1 : 02024.04.06 · 종료
Hellenic AthleticAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.0%
DRAW19.0%
AWAY38.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 36.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +43.0%
VALUE EDGE+43.0%
FAIR ODDS2.33
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 17/100 · HIGH RISK
REST EVEN +0.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Darwin HeartsAnalysis MetricsHellenic Athletic
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.25 Average goals scoredHigher is better 2.00
1.25 Average goals concededLower is better 1.17
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.2 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
43.0%
DRAW
19.0%
AWAY
38.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Darwin Hearts
W · 3-0
Hellenic Athletic
D · 1-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.08.09Darwin Hearts2 : 0Hellenic Athletic
2025.05.30Hellenic Athletic1 : 0Darwin Hearts
2025.03.28Darwin Hearts1 : 3Hellenic Athletic
2024.08.02Darwin Hearts5 : 7Hellenic Athletic
2024.05.31Hellenic Athletic3 : 5Darwin Hearts
2024.04.06Darwin Hearts1 : 0Hellenic Athletic