Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Northern Territory Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 1
Darwin HeartsHOME · -
3 : 02024.03.23 · 종료
Port DarwinAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME1.7%
DRAW5.0%
AWAY93.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
AWAY 70.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+93.3%
VALUE EDGE+93.3%
FAIR ODDS1.07
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
77/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
EVEN
+0.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Darwin HeartsAnalysis MetricsPort Darwin
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
2.25
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.08
1.25
Average goals concededLower is better
1.83
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Darwin Hearts
Collecting Data
Port Darwin
Collecting Data
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.07.18 | Darwin Hearts | 5 : 1 | Port Darwin |
| 2025.05.16 | Port Darwin | 1 : 0 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2025.03.15 | Darwin Hearts | 4 : 0 | Port Darwin |
| 2024.09.07 | Darwin Hearts | 2 : 0 | Port Darwin |
| 2024.05.24 | Port Darwin | 0 : 2 | Darwin Hearts |
| 2024.03.23 | Darwin Hearts | 3 : 0 | Port Darwin |