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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A Brazil · Regular Season - 5
VitoriaHOME · -
1 : 32024.05.06 · 종료
Sao PauloAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.5%
DRAW26.6%
AWAY24.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 38.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +48.5%
VALUE EDGE+48.5%
FAIR ODDS2.06
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 30/100 · HIGH RISK
REST HOME +5.8%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
VitoriaAnalysis MetricsSao Paulo
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
1.00 Average goals scoredHigher is better 0.92
1.58 Average goals concededLower is better 1.08
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.5%
DRAW
26.6%
AWAY
24.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vitoria
L · 3-1D · 2-2L · 0-1
Sao Paulo
D · 0-0W · 0-3L · 2-1L · 1-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.11Sao Paulo2 : 1Vitoria
2026.04.12Vitoria2 : 0Sao Paulo
2025.12.08Vitoria1 : 0Sao Paulo
2025.08.10Sao Paulo2 : 0Vitoria
2024.08.26Sao Paulo2 : 1Vitoria
2024.05.06Vitoria1 : 3Sao Paulo