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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A Brazil · Regular Season - 5
CorinthiansHOME · -
0 : 02024.05.05 · 종료
Fortaleza ECAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.4%
DRAW26.6%
AWAY26.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 38.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +46.4%
VALUE EDGE+46.4%
FAIR ODDS2.15
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 27/100 · HIGH RISK
REST EVEN +0.5%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
CorinthiansAnalysis MetricsFortaleza EC
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
0.92 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.33
1.67 Average goals concededLower is better 0.92
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.4 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.4%
DRAW
26.6%
AWAY
26.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Corinthians
W · 3-0L · 1-0L · 2-0D · 0-0
Fortaleza EC
D · 1-1D · 1-1W · 1-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.12.04Fortaleza EC2 : 1Corinthians
2025.08.04Corinthians1 : 1Fortaleza EC
2024.08.26Fortaleza EC1 : 0Corinthians
2024.05.05Corinthians0 : 0Fortaleza EC