Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A
Brazil · Regular Season - 4
Sao PauloHOME · -
0 : 02024.04.30 · 종료
PalmeirasAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.8%
DRAW26.4%
AWAY26.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
HOME 38.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+46.8%
VALUE EDGE+46.8%
FAIR ODDS2.13
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
27/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
EVEN
-0.5%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Sao PauloAnalysis MetricsPalmeiras
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
0.92
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.75
1.08
Average goals concededLower is better
0.75
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation8.6 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sao Paulo
W · 0-3L · 2-1L · 1-2
Palmeiras
D · 0-0L · 0-1W · 0-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.13 | Palmeiras | 2 : 0 | Sao Paulo |
| 2026.03.22 | Sao Paulo | 0 : 1 | Palmeiras |
| 2026.03.02 | Palmeiras | 2 : 1 | Sao Paulo |
| 2026.01.25 | Palmeiras | 3 : 1 | Sao Paulo |
| 2025.10.06 | Sao Paulo | 2 : 3 | Palmeiras |
| 2025.05.12 | Palmeiras | 1 : 0 | Sao Paulo |
| 2024.08.19 | Palmeiras | 2 : 1 | Sao Paulo |
| 2024.04.30 | Sao Paulo | 0 : 0 | Palmeiras |