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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Belarus · Regular Season - 5
SmorgonHOME · -
2 : 22024.04.19 · 종료
FC GomelAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.4%
DRAW28.1%
AWAY35.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 32.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +36.4%
VALUE EDGE+36.4%
FAIR ODDS2.75
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 14/100 · HIGH RISK
REST AWAY -4.6%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
SmorgonAnalysis MetricsFC Gomel
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.08 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.67
1.17 Average goals concededLower is better 1.17
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement10.3 / 15
Prediction separation0.3 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.4%
DRAW
28.1%
AWAY
35.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Smorgon
D · 1-1W · 2-3L · 4-1L · 5-0
FC Gomel
L · 0-1W · 1-3L · 2-3D · 1-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.11.29FC Gomel3 : 1Smorgon
2025.07.05Smorgon3 : 1FC Gomel
2024.08.31FC Gomel2 : 1Smorgon
2024.04.19Smorgon2 : 2FC Gomel