Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Premier League Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 7

FK Tobol KostanayHOME · -

1 : 02024.05.04 · 종료

ZhetysuAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.6%

DRAW17.3%

AWAY13.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.6%

VALUE EDGE+69.6%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 53/100 · HIGH RISK

REST HOME +5.5%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

FK Tobol KostanayAnalysis MetricsZhetysu

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

1.83 Average goals scoredHigher is better 0.83

1.58 Average goals concededLower is better 1.83

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW

Data coverage4.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form0.0 / 10

Historical sample0.0 / 10

Model agreement12.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.6%

DRAW

17.3%

AWAY

13.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

FK Tobol Kostanay

D · 1-1D · 2-2D · 0-0W · 4-2W · 2-0

Zhetysu

W · 2-1W · 1-0D · 0-0W · 0-1L · 0-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.24	Zhetysu	1 : 1	FK Tobol Kostanay
2026.03.16	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 : 2	Zhetysu
2025.10.19	Zhetysu	1 : 2	FK Tobol Kostanay
2025.06.22	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 : 1	Zhetysu
2024.08.18	Zhetysu	0 : 3	FK Tobol Kostanay
2024.05.04	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 : 0	Zhetysu