Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 5
FC AstanaHOME · -
2 : 22024.04.21 · 종료
FK Tobol KostanayAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.5%
DRAW29.8%
AWAY27.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
HOME 36.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+42.5%
VALUE EDGE+42.5%
FAIR ODDS2.36
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
23/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
EVEN
+0.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
FC AstanaAnalysis MetricsFK Tobol Kostanay
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.58
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.83
0.92
Average goals concededLower is better
1.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation5.4 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FC Astana
L · 1-0L · 0-1W · 0-2W · 2-0
FK Tobol Kostanay
D · 0-0W · 4-2W · 2-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.10 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 2 : 1 | FC Astana |
| 2026.04.29 | FC Astana | 1 : 2 | FK Tobol Kostanay |
| 2026.03.20 | FC Astana | 2 : 0 | FK Tobol Kostanay |
| 2025.09.19 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 2 : 3 | FC Astana |
| 2025.05.10 | FC Astana | 1 : 3 | FK Tobol Kostanay |
| 2024.11.03 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 1 : 0 | FC Astana |
| 2024.04.21 | FC Astana | 2 : 2 | FK Tobol Kostanay |