Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 5
Kairat AlmatyHOME · -
1 : 32024.04.20 · 종료
AktobeAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.2%
DRAW29.8%
AWAY24.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
HOME 38.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+46.2%
VALUE EDGE+46.2%
FAIR ODDS2.17
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
29/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
HOME
+4.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Kairat AlmatyAnalysis MetricsAktobe
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.75
1.25
Average goals concededLower is better
1.58
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kairat Almaty
D · 0-0W · 1-2D · 0-0W · 2-1
Aktobe
D · 1-1W · 3-0W · 1-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.25 | Aktobe | 2 : 2 | Kairat Almaty |
| 2026.03.16 | Kairat Almaty | 1 : 0 | Aktobe |
| 2025.09.14 | Kairat Almaty | 1 : 0 | Aktobe |
| 2025.05.31 | Aktobe | 1 : 2 | Kairat Almaty |
| 2024.10.04 | Aktobe | 2 : 1 | Kairat Almaty |
| 2024.04.20 | Kairat Almaty | 1 : 3 | Aktobe |