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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Brisbane Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 4
NewmarketHOME · -
4 : 22024.03.23 · 종료
Mt GravattAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.1%
DRAW21.4%
AWAY31.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 38.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +47.1%
VALUE EDGE+47.1%
FAIR ODDS2.12
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 24/100 · HIGH RISK
REST HOME +5.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
NewmarketAnalysis MetricsMt Gravatt
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
2.17 Average goals scoredHigher is better 2.75
1.67 Average goals concededLower is better 1.42
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.7 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.1%
DRAW
21.4%
AWAY
31.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newmarket
W · 1-2W · 2-1L · 3-1
Mt Gravatt
W · 4-0D · 3-3D · 1-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.08.03Mt Gravatt2 : 1Newmarket
2025.05.10Mt Gravatt1 : 1Newmarket
2024.06.22Mt Gravatt1 : 1Newmarket
2024.03.23Newmarket4 : 2Mt Gravatt