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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Brisbane Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 4
Virginia UnitedHOME · -
1 : 42024.03.23 · 종료
Centenary StormersAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.7%
DRAW21.7%
AWAY33.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 36.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +44.7%
VALUE EDGE+44.7%
FAIR ODDS2.24
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 21/100 · HIGH RISK
REST EVEN +0.4%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Virginia UnitedAnalysis MetricsCentenary Stormers
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
1.83 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.58
0.75 Average goals concededLower is better 2.00
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation4.7 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.7%
DRAW
21.7%
AWAY
33.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Virginia United
L · 0-1W · 1-2L · 4-3
Centenary Stormers
W · 3-0W · 3-0D · 1-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.08.26Centenary Stormers1 : 0Virginia United
2025.05.03Virginia United5 : 0Centenary Stormers
2024.06.22Centenary Stormers0 : 4Virginia United
2024.03.23Virginia United1 : 4Centenary Stormers