Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Queensland Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 11

Logan LightningHOME · -

4 : 02024.05.19 · 종료

MitcheltonAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME95.1%

DRAW3.9%

AWAY1.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 62/100

AI PICK HOME 72.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +95.1%

VALUE EDGE+95.1%

FAIR ODDS1.05

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +56.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +55.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +20.9%p

REST EVEN -0.2%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

Logan LightningAnalysis MetricsMitchelton

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

1.92 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.25

1.67 Average goals concededLower is better 2.50

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

62/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage12.4 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample4.5 / 10

Model agreement7.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

95.1%

DRAW

3.9%

AWAY

1.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Logan Lightning

W · 1-5D · 1-1L · 4-1W · 2-0W · 2-0

Mitchelton

D · 1-1L · 3-4L · 4-2L · 4-2L · 2-5

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.08.18	Mitchelton	5 : 3	Logan Lightning
2024.05.19	Logan Lightning	4 : 0	Mitchelton