Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Queensland Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 11

SWQ ThunderHOME · -

0 : 22024.05.18 · 종료

Eastern SuburbsAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.7%

DRAW11.9%

AWAY4.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW25 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 25/100

AI PICK HOME 56.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +83.7%

VALUE EDGE+83.7%

FAIR ODDS1.19

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 72/100 · HIGH RISK

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +9.6%p

REST AWAY -9.7%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

SWQ ThunderAnalysis MetricsEastern Suburbs

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

1.08 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.08

2.67 Average goals concededLower is better 1.75

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

25/100 LOW

Data coverage5.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form0.0 / 10

Historical sample4.5 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

83.7%

DRAW

11.9%

AWAY

4.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

SWQ Thunder

L · 2-0W · 1-3L · 0-1L · 2-1L · 2-0

Eastern Suburbs

L · 1-3D · 4-4W · 4-2W · 2-1L · 2-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.08.18	Eastern Suburbs	2 : 4	SWQ Thunder
2024.05.18	SWQ Thunder	0 : 2	Eastern Suburbs