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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Queensland Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 10
Moreton City IIHOME · -
1 : 52024.05.11 · 종료
Logan LightningAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.2%
DRAW17.1%
AWAY61.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK AWAY 45.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.7%
VALUE EDGE+61.7%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 41/100 · HIGH RISK
REST EVEN +0.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Moreton City IIAnalysis MetricsLogan Lightning
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
0.67 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.92
3.83 Average goals concededLower is better 1.67
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
21.2%
DRAW
17.1%
AWAY
61.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Moreton City II
W · 3-4W · 3-1L · 4-1D · 1-1L · 0-4
Logan Lightning
D · 1-1L · 4-1W · 2-0W · 2-0L · 1-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.08.10Logan Lightning5 : 0Moreton City II
2024.05.11Moreton City II1 : 5Logan Lightning