Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Queensland Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 10

Eastern SuburbsHOME · -

1 : 32024.05.10 · 종료

St George WillawongAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME16.6%

DRAW19.5%

AWAY63.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100

AI PICK AWAY 45.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +63.9%

VALUE EDGE+63.9%

FAIR ODDS1.56

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 46/100 · HIGH RISK

REST HOME +4.7%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

Eastern SuburbsAnalysis MetricsSt George Willawong

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

1.08 Average goals scoredHigher is better 0.75

1.75 Average goals concededLower is better 2.83

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

13.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 12.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW

Data coverage4.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form0.0 / 10

Historical sample0.0 / 10

Model agreement4.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

16.6%

DRAW

19.5%

AWAY

63.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Eastern Suburbs

D · 4-4W · 4-2W · 2-1L · 2-0W · 0-4

St George Willawong

D · 2-2W · 0-1L · 2-0W · 4-0W · 2-4

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.09.07	St George Willawong	2 : 3	Eastern Suburbs
2024.08.10	St George Willawong	2 : 1	Eastern Suburbs
2024.05.10	Eastern Suburbs	1 : 3	St George Willawong