Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Queensland Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 9
St George WillawongHOME · -
2 : 22024.04.28 · 종료
CapalabaAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.3%
DRAW18.4%
AWAY50.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
AWAY 40.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.3%
VALUE EDGE+50.3%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
26/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
AWAY
-8.8%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
St George WillawongAnalysis MetricsCapalaba
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
0.75
Average goals scoredHigher is better
0.67
2.83
Average goals concededLower is better
2.75
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement5.6 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
St George Willawong
W · 0-1L · 2-0W · 4-0W · 2-4W · 1-2
Capalaba
L · 2-1L · 4-1W · 1-7L · 2-3L · 2-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.04 | Capalaba | 0 : 2 | St George Willawong |
| 2026.03.28 | St George Willawong | 0 : 1 | Capalaba |
| 2024.08.03 | Capalaba | 1 : 3 | St George Willawong |
| 2024.04.28 | St George Willawong | 2 : 2 | Capalaba |