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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Queensland Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 8
SWQ ThunderHOME · -
0 : 12024.04.21 · 종료
St George WillawongAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME14.5%
DRAW16.8%
AWAY68.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK AWAY 46.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +68.7%
VALUE EDGE+68.7%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 51/100 · HIGH RISK
REST AWAY -5.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
SWQ ThunderAnalysis MetricsSt George Willawong
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.08 Average goals scoredHigher is better 0.75
2.67 Average goals concededLower is better 2.83
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
14.5%
DRAW
16.8%
AWAY
68.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
SWQ Thunder
L · 2-1L · 2-0W · 5-0W · 1-4W · 4-0
St George Willawong
L · 2-0W · 4-0W · 2-4W · 1-2W · 0-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.07.21St George Willawong4 : 1SWQ Thunder
2024.04.21SWQ Thunder0 : 1St George Willawong