Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Queensland Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 7
Logan LightningHOME · -
2 : 02024.04.14 · 종료
Eastern SuburbsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.2%
DRAW25.4%
AWAY49.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM61 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
61/100
AI PICK
AWAY 38.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+49.4%
VALUE EDGE+49.4%
FAIR ODDS2.02
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
57/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-19.2%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-16.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
AWAY
-5.0%p
REST
EVEN
+0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Logan LightningAnalysis MetricsEastern Suburbs
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
1.92
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.08
1.67
Average goals concededLower is better
1.75
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
61/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation10.3 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Lightning
W · 2-0L · 1-2L · 1-2L · 2-1W · 3-0
Eastern Suburbs
W · 0-4W · 0-5D · 3-3L · 3-2W · 0-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.07.12 | Eastern Suburbs | 3 : 2 | Logan Lightning |
| 2024.04.14 | Logan Lightning | 2 : 0 | Eastern Suburbs |