Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Queensland Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 6

St George WillawongHOME · -

4 : 02024.04.07 · 종료

CabooltureAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.8%

DRAW21.5%

AWAY32.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100

AI PICK HOME 38.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +45.8%

VALUE EDGE+45.8%

FAIR ODDS2.18

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 22/100 · HIGH RISK

REST EVEN -0.2%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

St George WillawongAnalysis MetricsCaboolture

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

0.75 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.67

2.83 Average goals concededLower is better 1.58

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW

Data coverage4.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form0.0 / 10

Historical sample0.0 / 10

Model agreement7.4 / 15

Prediction separation5.6 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

45.8%

DRAW

21.5%

AWAY

32.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

St George Willawong

W · 2-4W · 1-2W · 0-2W · 2-4W · 0-3

Caboolture

L · 2-0L · 1-4W · 1-2W · 3-1D · 3-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.18	St George Willawong	1 : 0	Caboolture
2026.04.18	Caboolture	1 : 1	St George Willawong
2024.07.06	Caboolture	2 : 3	St George Willawong
2024.04.07	St George Willawong	4 : 0	Caboolture