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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Queensland Premier League Australia · Regular Season - 4
CapalabaHOME · -
2 : 32024.03.16 · 종료
Moreton City IIAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.1%
DRAW20.9%
AWAY42.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK AWAY 36.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +42.9%
VALUE EDGE+42.9%
FAIR ODDS2.33
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 18/100 · HIGH RISK
REST EVEN +0.2%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
CapalabaAnalysis MetricsMoreton City II
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
0.67 Average goals scoredHigher is better 0.67
2.75 Average goals concededLower is better 3.83
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.1%
DRAW
20.9%
AWAY
42.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Capalaba
L · 2-1L · 1-4L · 0-2
Moreton City II
L · 1-4L · 2-4D · 3-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.06.15Moreton City II0 : 5Capalaba
2024.03.16Capalaba2 : 3Moreton City II